Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.635775 1.960384 2.325510 2.765575 3.280466 3.862683 4.569717
2026-02-01 1.108620 1.499263 1.987594 2.638690 3.479288 4.522692 5.909946
2026-02-08 0.835192 1.248573 1.812090 2.627213 3.764994 5.283797 7.448729
2026-02-15 0.659410 1.075116 1.685480 2.631318 4.040273 6.036949 9.048776
2026-02-22 0.526305 0.928131 1.558733 2.597415 4.235295 6.679647 10.550014
2026-03-01 0.408547 0.776413 1.391225 2.463366 4.245389 7.033889 11.647951
2026-03-08 0.336236 0.684033 1.299333 2.428527 4.394970 7.602721 13.118082
2026-03-15 0.282426 0.612577 1.228523 2.413574 4.567431 8.216337 14.711425
2026-03-22 0.258670 0.593279 1.246926 2.556581 5.025211 9.343357 17.256982
2026-03-29 0.230554 0.558943 1.230224 2.629713 5.362756 10.293460 19.586238
2026-04-05 0.210185 0.536727 1.233038 2.739004 5.777140 11.415007 22.314077
2026-04-12 0.182691 0.492533 1.182867 2.733514 5.967682 12.144135 24.395932
2026-04-19 0.151537 0.433495 1.092334 2.633843 5.965499 12.525340 25.897082
2026-04-26 0.125552 0.381146 1.007370 2.532796 5.946854 12.871915 27.366099
2026-05-03 0.109494 0.350920 0.968391 2.528025 6.129305 13.629813 29.699635
2026-05-10 0.096330 0.325457 0.936322 2.533938 6.334460 14.451102 32.229465
2026-05-17 0.083296 0.297037 0.891472 2.501779 6.448811 15.092370 34.445619
2026-05-24 0.068337 0.258613 0.812784 2.372430 6.320584 15.202216 35.560788
2026-05-31 0.059187 0.236292 0.773831 2.338821 6.414860 15.803148 37.769165
2026-06-07 0.051932 0.218350 0.743905 2.324390 6.553641 16.514744 40.276025
2026-06-14 0.049940 0.218653 0.768154 2.462582 7.092097 18.184113 45.036828
2026-06-21 0.046215 0.211546 0.768488 2.533260 7.464756 19.500202 49.103077
2026-06-28 0.043648 0.208241 0.780270 2.638891 7.941021 21.100934 53.941253